570 new circumstances, 6 new identified deaths
Arizona reported 570 new COVID-19 cases and six new known deaths on Tuesday as cases remain relatively low and the death toll approaches 17,000.
According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s COVID Data Tracker, Arizona’s case rate of seven days per 100,000 people was on the 44th Monday below all states and territories, after ranking first and second for most of January.
The states with a lower case rate in the past seven days were New Mexico, Louisiana, Kansas, Alabama, Mississippi, Hawaii, California, Oklahoma, and Arkansas. Arizona ranked 51st out of 60 states and territories on March 28, but its rank has improved.
The state’s seven-day average for newly reported COVID-19 cases was 629 on Tuesday, compared to 548 last Tuesday per state data. The average had reached 9,800 in January.
The state’s seven-day death rate per 100,000 people ranked 33rd in the nation on Monday, according to the CDC.
The percent positivity, which refers to the percentage of positive COVID-19 diagnostic tests, has decreased, but varies somewhat depending on the measurement method.
Last week, Arizona percent positivity was 5% for the fifth straight week and 7% the week before, according to the state, which has a unique way to calculate percent positivity. Weekly percentage positivity peaked at 25% nationwide in December.
Johns Hopkins University calculates the seven-day Arizona moving average as a percentage of positive results as of Tuesday at 2.7%. It shows that the state’s percentage positivity peaked at 24.2% in December.
A positivity rate of 5% or less is considered a good measure of whether the spread of the disease is under control.
However, the state’s COVID-19 death and fall rates since January 21, 2020 remain among the worst in the country.
The COVID-19 death rate in Arizona since the pandemic began is 233 deaths per 100,000 people on Monday, according to the CDC. This puts it in sixth place in the state in a state that separates New York City from the state of New York. The US average is 166 deaths per 100,000 people on Monday, according to the CDC.
New York City has the highest death rate with 375 deaths per 100,000 people, followed by New Jersey, Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Mississippi.
Arizona’s rate of fall per 100,000 people since the pandemic began ranks sixth nationwide as of Monday.
Arizona’s recently reported six deaths brought the known number of COVID-19 deaths to 16,996. The state passed 16,000 deaths on March 2, after recording 15,000 deaths on February 17, 14,000 deaths on February 6, and 13,000 deaths on January 29, just one week after 12,000 and two weeks after 11,000 deaths. The state exceeded 10,000 known deaths on January 9. Arizona’s first known death from the disease occurred in mid-March 2020.
Many of the reported deaths occurred days or weeks earlier as delays were reported and the death certificate matched.
A total of 845,480 COVID-19 cases have been identified across the state. Relatively few cases were reported in February and particularly in March. 28 of the cases reported in the last 30 days were under 1,000.
The Arizona data dashboard shows that 84% of all ICU beds and 88% of all inpatient beds in the state were in use as of Monday, with 9% of ICU beds and 6% of ICU beds out of COVID -19 patients were occupied. Nationwide, 274 beds were available in the intensive care unit and 1,034 beds outside the intensive care unit.
Hospital admissions for the disease have generally been down for about 12 weeks.
The total number of patients hospitalized in Arizona for known or suspected COVID-19 cases was 546 on Monday, up from 516 on Sunday, and well below the record of 5,082 inpatients on Jan. 11. In comparison, the highest number of COVID-19 hospitalizations in a single day in the summer of 2020, the increase on July 13 was 3,517.
The number of suspected or known COVID-19 patients in intensive care units in Arizona was 149 on Monday, roughly the same as on Sunday and well below the record high of 1,183 on Jan. 11. During the summer surge in mid-July, the intensive care units were on duty for COVID-19, which reached a high of 970.
Arizonans with confirmed and suspected COVID-19 on ventilators hit 60 on Monday, up from 51 on Sunday, and well below the record high of 821 on Jan. 13. During the summer surge, July 16 was the peak day for ventilator use by patients with 687.
As of Monday, 892 patients were in the emergency room for COVID-19, well below the December 29 daily record of 2,341 positive or suspected COVID-19 patients seen in emergency rooms across the state.
In mid-December, Arizona began its first COVID-19 vaccinations for healthcare workers, long-term care facilities, and frontline first responders. At the beginning of March, the state switched to a largely age-dependent rollout and began at the end of March to give people aged 16 and over the opportunity to register for appointments.
By Tuesday, more than 2.3 million people across the country had received at least one dose of vaccine, with nearly 1.5 million people fully vaccinated against COVID-19. Arizona has approximately 5.6 million adults ages 18 and older.
What you should know about Tuesday’s numbers
Reported Cases in Arizona: 845.480.
Cases since the outbreak began increased by 570, or 0.07%, of the 844,910 cases identified on Monday. These daily cases are grouped by the date they are reported to the state health department, not the date the tests were performed.
Cases by county: 526,415 in Maricopa, 113,171 in Pima, 49,900 in Pinal, 36,804 in Yuma, 22,238 in Mohave, 18,369 in Yavapai, 17,186 in Coconino, 15,746 in Navajo, 11,655 in Cochise, 11,191 in Apache, 7,851 in Santa Cruz, 6,370 in Gila in Graham , 2,446 in La Paz and 566 in Greenlee, according to state figures.
The fall rate per 100,000 people since the pandemic began is highest in Yuma County, followed by Apache, Santa Cruz, Graham and Navajo counties. The rate in Yuma County is 16,005 cases per 100,000 people. By comparison, the US median rate since the pandemic began is 9,197 cases per 100,000 people, according to the CDC on Monday.
The Navajo Nation reported a total of 30,178 cases and 1,258 confirmed deaths on Monday. The Navajo Nation includes parts of Arizona, New Mexico, and Utah.
The Arizona Department of Justice reported that 12,216 inmates tested positive for COVID-19 on Monday, including 2,240 in Tucson, 2,024 in Eyman, 2,009 in Yuma, 1,303 in Lewis and 1,163 in Douglas; 43,652 inmates across the state were tested. A total of 2,741 prison employees have reported positive tests themselves, the department said. 43 people arrested in Arizona have been confirmed to have died from COVID-19. 10 more deaths are being investigated.
Race / ethnicity is unknown for 17% of all COVID-19 cases across the state, but 38% of positive cases were diagnosed in whites, 30% in Hispanics or Latinos, 5% in Native Americans, 3% in blacks, and 1% for islanders in the Asia-Pacific region.
Of those who tested positive since the Arizona pandemic began, 16% were younger than 20, 44% were 20-44, 15% were 45-54, 12% were 55-64, and 13% were 65 years or older.
The laboratories had 4,083,388 individual diagnostic tests for COVID-19 on Tuesday, 13.7% of which were positive. This number includes both PCR and antigen tests. The percentage of positive tests over the past five full weeks was 5%. The status numbers omit data from laboratories that do not report electronically.
The state health department includes likely cases such as people with a positive antigen test, another type of test used to determine current infection. Antigen tests (not related to antibody tests) use a nasal swab or other fluid sample to test the current infection. Results are usually generated within 15 minutes.
A positive antigen test result is considered very accurate, but there is an increased chance of false negative results, says the Mayo Clinic. According to representatives from the Mayo Clinic, a doctor may recommend a PCR (polymerase chain reaction) test to confirm a negative antigen test result.
Arizona had the sixth highest total casualty rate in the country on Monday since Jan. 21, 2020. According to data from North Dakota, South Dakota, Rhode Island, Utah, and Tennessee, according to Arizona per 100,000 people, North Dakota, South Dakota, Rhode Island, and Utah are located per 100,000 people Tennessee before the CDC.
According to the CDC, the infection rate in Arizona is 11,600 cases per 100,000 people. The national average is 9,197 cases per 100,000 people, although rates in states that were severely affected at the start of the pandemic may be undercounted in March and April 2020 due to a lack of available tests.
Reported deaths in Arizona: 16,996
Deaths by counties: 9,670 in Maricopa, 2,359 in Pima, 858 in Pinal, 821 in Yuma, 691 in Mohave, 521 in Navajo, 489 in Yavapai, 421 in Apache, 326 in Coconino, 281 in Cochise, 222 in Gila, 173 in Santa Cruz, 77 in La Paz, 77 in Graham and 10 in Greenlee.
People aged 65 and over account for 12,746 of the 16,996 deaths, or 75%. After that, 15% of the deaths were in the 55-64 age group, 6% were 45-54 years old, and 4% were 20-44 years old.
While race / ethnicity was unknown for 7% of the deaths, 50% of those who died were white, 29% Hispanic or Latin American, 8% were Native American, 3% were black, and 1% were Asian-Pacific islanders.
The global death toll on Tuesday morning was 2,863,193. According to Johns Hopkins University, the US had the highest death toll of any country in the world at 555,638. Arizona’s total death toll of 16,996 is roughly 3.1% of the number of COVID-19 deaths in the United States
Reach the reporter at Alison.Steinbach@arizonarepublic.com or at 602-444-4282. Follow her on Twitter @alisteinbach.
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