381 new instances, 10 new recognized deaths
With COVID-19 cases on the rise again in many US states, Arizona has continued to report relatively low daily case numbers so far.
The state added 381 new COVID-19 cases and 10 new known deaths on Thursday as the daily reported cases stayed below 800 for 20 days.
According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s COVID Data Tracker, Arizona’s 7-day case rate per 100,000 people ranked 49th Wednesday among all states and territories after ranking above first and second for most of January.
The only states with a lower case rate in the past seven days were Mississippi, Hawaii, California, and Arkansas.
The state’s 7-day average for newly reported COVID-19 cases was 601 on Thursday, according to the state. The average had hit 9,800 in January.
The state’s 7-day death rate per 100,000 people ranked 14th in the nation on Wednesday, behind New York City, Georgia, Massachusetts, California, New Jersey, Kentucky, Delaware, Texas, Florida, Arkansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, according to the CDC and Tennessee.
The percentage positivity, which refers to the percentage of positive COVID-19 diagnostic tests, has decreased, but varies somewhat depending on the measurement method.
Last week, Arizona percent positivity was 5% for the fourth straight week and 7% the week before, according to the state, which has a unique way to calculate percent positivity. Weekly percentage positivity peaked at 25% nationwide in December.
Johns Hopkins University calculates the Arizona moving average for seven days as a percentage of positive results as of Thursday at 2.4%. It shows that the state’s percentage positivity peaked at 24.2% in December.
A positivity rate of 5% or less is considered a good measure of whether the spread of the disease is under control.
However, the state’s COVID-19 death and fall rates since January 21, 2020 remain among the worst in the country.
The COVID-19 death rate in Arizona since the pandemic began is 232 deaths per 100,000 people, according to the CDC on Wednesday. This puts it in sixth place in the state in a state that separates New York City from the state of New York. The US average is 165 deaths per 100,000 people on Wednesday, according to the CDC.
New York City has the highest death rate with 371 deaths per 100,000 people, followed by New Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, and Mississippi.
Arizona’s rate of fall per 100,000 people since the pandemic began ranks sixth nationwide as of Wednesday.
Arizona’s newly reported 10 deaths brought the known COVID-19 number to 16,977. The state passed 16,000 deaths on March 2, after recording 15,000 deaths on February 17, 14,000 deaths on February 6, and 13,000 deaths on January 29, just one week after 12,000 and two weeks after 11,000 deaths. The state exceeded 10,000 known deaths on January 9. Arizona’s first known death from the disease occurred in mid-March 2020.
Many of the reported deaths occurred days or weeks earlier as delays were reported and the death certificate matched.
A total of 842,192 COVID-19 cases have been identified across the state. Relatively few cases were reported in February and particularly in March. 23 of the cases reported in the last 25 days were under 1,000.
The Arizona data dashboard shows that 85% of all ICU beds and 88% of all inpatient beds in the state were in use on Wednesday, with 10% of ICU beds and 7% of ICU beds outside of COVID-19 Patients were occupied. Nationwide, 254 beds were available in the intensive care unit and 1,060 beds outside the intensive care unit.
Hospital admissions for the illness have typically been in decline for about 11 weeks.
The total number of patients hospitalized for known or suspected COVID-19 cases in Arizona was 604 on Wednesday, a slight increase from 592 on Tuesday, but well below the record of 5,082 inpatients on Jan. 11. 19 hospital stays in a single day during the summer 2020 surge was 3,517 on July 13.
The number of suspected or known COVID-19 patients in intensive care units in Arizona stood at 168 as of Wednesday, similar to the previous few days, and well below the record high of 1,183 on Jan. 11. Intensive care unit during the summer surge in mid-July, the beds used for COVID-19 peaked at 970.
Arizonans with confirmed and suspected COVID-19 on ventilators hit 75 on Wednesday, a slight increase over the past few days and well below the record high of 821 reached on Jan. 13. During the summer surge, July 16 was the main ventilator use day with 687 patients.
As of Wednesday, 1,016 patients were in the emergency room for COVID-19, well below the December 29 daily record of 2,341 positive or suspected COVID-19 patients seen in emergency rooms across the state.
Arizona began its first phase 1A COVID-19 vaccinations in the week of December 14th. The state again changed its vaccine rollout plan last week to allow anyone aged 16 and over to sign up for appointments at state-run locations, pharmacies, and state-qualified health centers starting last Wednesday. Districts can continue to under-prioritize age groups and key workers at district locations.
As of Thursday, more than 2 million people across the country had received at least one dose of vaccine, with more than 1.3 million people fully vaccinated against COVID-19. Arizona has approximately 5.6 million adults ages 18 and older.
What you should know about Thursday’s numbers
Reported Cases in Arizona: 842.192.
Cases since the outbreak began, up 381, or 0.05%, from the 841,811 cases identified on Wednesday. These daily cases are grouped by the date they are reported to the Arizona Department of Health, not the date the tests were performed.
Cases by county: 524,547 in Maricopa, 112,707 in Pima, 49,540 in Pinal, 36,756 in Yuma, 22,141 in Mohave, 18,320 in Yavapai, 17,091 in Coconino, 15,699 in Navajo, 11,610 in Cochise, 11,026 in Apache, 7,821 in Santa Cruz, 6,354 in Gila in Graham , 2,448 in La Paz and 564 in Greenlee, according to state figures.
The fall rate per 100,000 people since the pandemic began is highest in Yuma County, followed by Apache, Santa Cruz, Graham and Navajo counties. The rate in Yuma County is 15,984 cases per 100,000 people. By comparison, the average US rate since the pandemic began is 9,101 cases per 100,000 people, according to the CDC on Wednesday.
The Navajo Nation reported 30,095 cases and a total of 1,247 confirmed deaths on Wednesday. The Navajo Nation includes parts of Arizona, New Mexico, and Utah.
The Arizona Department of Justice reported that 12,214 inmates tested positive for COVID-19 on Wednesday, including 2,240 in Tucson, 2,023 in Eyman, 2,010 in Yuma, 1,303 in Lewis and 1,163 in Douglas; 43,652 inmates across the state were tested. A total of 2,738 prison staff reported positive responses, the department said. 43 people arrested in Arizona have died of COVID-19, with seven other deaths being investigated.
Race / ethnicity is unknown for 17% of all COVID-19 cases across the state, but 38% of positive cases were diagnosed in whites, 30% in Hispanics or Latinos, 5% in Native Americans, 3% in blacks, and 1% for islanders in the Asia-Pacific region.
Of those who tested positive since the Arizona pandemic began, 16% were younger than 20, 44% were 20-44, 15% were 45-54, 12% were 55-64, and 13% were 65 years or older.
The laboratories had 4,049,052 individual diagnostic tests for COVID-19 on Tuesday, 13.8% of which were positive. This number includes both PCR and antigen tests. The percentage of positive tests in the last four full weeks was 5%. The status numbers omit data from laboratories that do not report electronically.
ADHD includes likely cases like anyone with a positive antigen test, a different type of test used to determine current infection. Antigen tests (not related to antibody tests) use a nasal swab or other fluid sample to test the current infection. Results are usually generated within 15 minutes.
A positive antigen test result is considered very accurate, but there is an increased chance of false negative results, says the Mayo Clinic. According to representatives from the Mayo Clinic, a doctor may recommend a PCR (polymerase chain reaction) test to confirm a negative antigen test result.
Arizona on Wednesday had the sixth highest overall case rate in the country since Jan. 21, 2020. According to Arizona, North Dakota, South Dakota, Rhode Island, Utah and Tennessee rank ahead of Arizona in cases per 100,000 people since the pandemic began, the CDC said.
According to the CDC, the infection rate in Arizona is 11,555 cases per 100,000 people. The national average is 9,101 cases per 100,000 people, although rates in states that were severely affected at the start of the pandemic may be undercounted in March and April 2020 due to a lack of available tests.
Reported deaths in Arizona: 16,977
Deaths by counties: 9,677 in Maricopa, 2,350 in Pima, 852 in Pinal, 822 in Yuma, 688 in Mohave, 521 in Navajo, 489 in Yavapai, 417 in Apache, 324 in Coconino, 280 in Cochise, 220 in Gila, 173 in Santa Cruz, 78 in La Paz, 76 in Graham and 10 in Greenlee.
People aged 65 and over account for 12,731 of the 16,977 deaths, or 75%. After that, 15% of the deaths were in the 55-64 age group, 6% were 45-54 years old, and 4% were 20-44 years old.
While race / ethnicity was unknown for 7% of the deaths, 50% of those who died were white, 29% Hispanic or Latin American, 8% were Native American, 3% were black, and 1% were Asian Pacific islanders.
The global death toll on Thursday morning was 2,818,576. According to Johns Hopkins University, the US had the highest death toll of any country in the world at 552,140. Arizona’s total death toll of 16,977 is roughly 3.1% of the number of COVID-19 deaths in the United States
Reach the reporter at Alison.Steinbach@arizonarepublic.com or at 602-444-4282. Follow her on Twitter @alisteinbach.
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