284 new instances, 59 new identified deaths
Arizona reported just 284 new COVID-19 cases and 59 new known deaths on Thursday, which continued for over a week with relatively low case numbers.
The state’s seven-day average for newly reported COVID-19 cases was 592 per state as of Thursday. It reached 9,800 in January.
According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s COVID Data Tracker, Arizona’s 7-day case rate per 100,000 people was on the 39th Wednesday among all states, after ranking first and second for most of January.
The state’s seven-day death rate per 100,000 people ranked eighth in the nation on Wednesday, according to the CDC.
The percentage positivity, which refers to the percentage of positive COVID-19 diagnostic tests, has decreased, but varies somewhat depending on the measurement method.
Last week, Arizona percent positivity was 5% for the second straight week and 7% the week before, according to the state, which has a unique way to calculate percent positivity. Weekly percentage positivity peaked at 25% nationwide in December.
Johns Hopkins University calculates the Arizona 7-day moving average as a percentage of positive results as of Thursday at 2.6%. It shows that the state’s percentage positivity peaked at 24.2% in December.
A positivity rate of 5% or less is considered a good measure of whether the spread of the disease is under control.
The state’s COVID-19 death and fall rates since January 21, 2020 remain among the worst in the country.
The COVID-19 death rate in Arizona since the pandemic began is 227 deaths per 100,000 people on Wednesday, according to the CDC. This puts it in a ranking that separates New York City from the state of New York in sixth place in the country. The US average is 160 deaths per 100,000 people on Wednesday, according to the CDC.
New York City has the highest death rate with 362 deaths per 100,000 people, followed by New Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, and Mississippi.
Arizona’s rate of fall per 100,000 people since the pandemic began ranks sixth nationwide as of Wednesday.
Arizona’s newly reported 59 deaths brought the known number of COVID-19 deaths to 16,645. The state passed 16,000 deaths on March 2, after recording 15,000 deaths on February 17, 14,000 deaths on February 6, and 13,000 deaths on January 29, just one week after 12,000 and two weeks after 11,000 deaths. The state exceeded 10,000 known deaths on January 9. Arizona’s first known death from the disease occurred in mid-March 2020.
Many of the reported deaths occurred days or weeks earlier as delays were reported and the death certificate matched.
A total of 834,607 COVID-19 cases have been identified across the state. Relatively few cases were reported in February and particularly in March.
Nine of the cases reported in the past 11 days were below 1,000 for the first time since October.
College cases:Only 120 COVID-19 cases are considered active at the four largest universities in Arizona combined
The Arizona data dashboard shows that 86% of all ICU beds and 89% of all inpatient beds in the state were in use on Wednesday, with 12% of ICU beds and 9% of ICU beds out of COVID-19 Patients were occupied. Nationwide, 252 beds were available in the intensive care unit and 954 beds outside the intensive care unit.
Hospital admissions for the illness have generally been in decline for more than nine weeks.
The total number of patients hospitalized for known or suspected COVID-19 cases in Arizona was 743 on Wednesday, compared with 773 on Tuesday and 743 inpatients on Monday, and well below the record of 5,082 inpatients on Monday 11th January. The highest number of COVID-19 hospitalizations in a single day during the summer 2020 spike was 3,517 on July 13.
The number of suspected or known COVID-19 patients in intensive care units across Arizona stood at 200 on Wednesday, a slight decrease from 208 on Tuesday and well below the record high of 1,183 on Jan. 11. The intensive care beds used for COVID-19 hit a high of 970.
Arizonans with confirmed and suspected COVID-19 on ventilators hit 93 on Wednesday, a similar 96 on Tuesday and well below the record high of 821 on January 13. During the summer surge, July 16 was the peak day for ventilator use by patients with 687.
As of Wednesday, 1,031 patients were in the emergency room for COVID-19, well below the December 29th record of 2,341 positive or suspected COVID-19 patients seen in emergency rooms across the state.
Arizona began its first phase 1A COVID-19 vaccinations in the week of December 14th. Registration is open to senior or all Phase 1B individuals and those 65 and over in counties, and the state switched to a partial age in early March. Rollout based so that people aged 55 and over are eligible in state locations and in most counties.
Nearly 1.7 million people across the state had received at least one dose of vaccine by Thursday, with more than 1 million people fully vaccinated against COVID-19 with two doses. Arizona has approximately 5.6 million adults ages 18 and older.
Vaccination rates:Arizona is making progress in vaccinating the elderly, but some counties are lagging behind
What you should know about Thursday’s numbers
Reported Cases in Arizona: 834.607.
Cases since the outbreak began, up 284, or 0.03%, from the 834,323 cases identified on Wednesday. These daily cases are grouped by the date they are reported to the Arizona Department of Health, not the date the tests were performed.
Cases by county: 520,784 in Maricopa, 111,507 in Pima, 48,468 in Pinal, 36,643 in Yuma, 21,777 in Mohave, 18,235 in Yavapai, 16,904 in Coconino, 15,587 in Navajo, 11,453 in Cochise, 10,750 in Apache, 7,702 in Santa Cruz, 6,346 in Gila in Graham , 2,423 in La Paz and 562 in Greenlee, according to state figures.
The fall rate per 100,000 people since the pandemic began is highest in Yuma County, followed by Apache, Santa Cruz, Graham and Navajo counties. The rate in Yuma County is 15,935 cases per 100,000 people. By comparison, the US median rate since the pandemic began is 8,848 cases per 100,000 people, according to the CDC on Wednesday.
The Navajo Nation reported 29,968 cases and a total of 1,222 confirmed deaths on Wednesday. The Navajo Nation includes parts of Arizona, New Mexico, and Utah. A home order and night curfew will remain in effect.
The Arizona Department of Justice reported that 12,200 inmates tested positive for COVID-19 on Wednesday, including 2,241 in Tucson, 2,020 in Eyman, 2,010 in Yuma, 1,303 in Lewis and 1,163 in Douglas; Nationwide, 43,644 inmates were tested. A total of 2,715 prison staff have reported positive tests themselves, the department said. Forty-one people arrested in Arizona have been confirmed to have died of COVID-19, with ten other deaths being investigated.
Race / ethnicity is unknown for 18% of all COVID-19 cases across the state, but 38% of positive cases were in Whites, 30% Hispanic or Latino, 5% Native American, 3% Black, and 1% Asian / Pacific Islander diagnosed.
Of those who tested positive since the Arizona pandemic began, 16% were younger than 20, 44% were 20-44, 15% were 45-54, 12% were 55-64, and 13% were 65 years or older.
The laboratories have performed 3,951,475 diagnostic tests on individuals for COVID-19, 14.1% of which were positive. This number includes both PCR and antigen tests. The percentage of positive tests had increased since mid-May, but began to decrease in July and remained constant at around 4% per state for several weeks. For the past two full weeks it was 5%. The status numbers omit data from laboratories that do not report electronically.
The Arizona Department of Health covers likely cases such as people with a positive antigen test, another type of test used to determine current infection. Antigen tests (not related to antibody tests) use a nasal swab or other fluid sample to test the current infection. Results are usually generated within 15 minutes.
A positive antigen test result is considered very accurate, but there is an increased chance of false negative results, says the Mayo Clinic. According to representatives from the Mayo Clinic, a doctor may recommend a PCR (polymerase chain reaction) test to confirm a negative antigen test result.
Arizona on Wednesday had the sixth highest overall case rate in the country since Jan. 21, 2020. According to Arizona, North Dakota, South Dakota, Rhode Island, Utah and Tennessee rank ahead of Arizona in cases per 100,000 people since the pandemic began, the CDC said.
According to the CDC, the infection rate in Arizona is 11,456 cases per 100,000 people. The national average is 8,848 cases per 100,000 people, although rates in states that were severely affected at the start of the pandemic may be undercounted in March and April 2020 due to a lack of available tests.
Reported deaths in Arizona: 16,645
Deaths by counties: 9,488 in Maricopa, 2,317 in Pima, 821 in Pinal, 810 in Yuma, 669 in Mohave, 517 in Navajo, 477 in Yavapai, 403 in Apache, 319 in Coconino, 274 in Cochise, 217 in Gila, 172 in Santa Cruz, 77 in Graham, 74 in La Paz and 10 in Greenlee.
People aged 65 and over account for 12,475 of the 16,645 deaths, or 75%. After that, 15% of the deaths were in the 55-64 age group, 6% were 45-54 years old, and 4% were 20-44 years old.
While race / ethnicity was unknown for 7% of the deaths, 50% of those who died were white, 29% Hispanic or Latin American, 8% were Native American, 3% were black, and 1% were Asian Pacific islanders.
The global death toll was 2,683,209 on Wednesday morning. According to Johns Hopkins University, the US had the highest death toll of any country in the world at 538,124. Arizona’s total death toll of 16,645 is 3.1% of the number of COVID-19 deaths in the United States
Reach the reporter at Alison.Steinbach@arizonarepublic.com or at 602-444-4282. Follow her on Twitter @alisteinbach.
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