1,507 new instances, no new identified deaths

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Arizona reported a relatively low 1,507 new COVID-19 cases and no new known deaths on Monday as hospital admissions for the disease near six weeks of declining numbers.

According to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s COVID Data Tracker, Arizona’s 7-day average for new cases on Sunday was ranked 18th among all states, after ranking first and second for most of January lay.

The state’s rate of new positive cases in the past seven days was 21.3 cases per 100,000 people, according to the CDC. New York City was first with 50.3 cases per 100,000. The US mean for new cases was 19.9 cases per 100,000 people.

The state’s average daily COVID-19 deaths per 100,000 people over the past seven days ranked sixth in the nation on Sunday, according to the CDC.

Arizona’s known COVID-19 death toll stood at 15,502 on Monday.three deaths below the number on Sunday due to death certificate match. Few new deaths are typically reported on Mondays. The state passed 15,000 deaths on February 17, after recording 14,000 deaths on February 6 and 13,000 deaths on January 29, just one week after 12,000 and two weeks after 11,000 deaths. The state exceeded 10,000 known deaths on January 9. Arizona’s first known death from the disease occurred in mid-March.

Many of the deaths occurred days or weeks earlier as delays were reported and the death certificate matched.

In just over a year since the first Arizona case was announced, a total of 809,474 COVID-19 cases have been identified across the state. Relatively few cases were reported in February.

The Arizona data dashboard shows that 85% of all ICU beds and 87% of all inpatient beds in the state were in use on Sunday, with 27% of ICU beds and 19% of ICU beds out of COVID-19 -Patients were occupied. Nationwide, 259 beds were available in the intensive care unit and 1,119 beds outside the intensive care unit.

Hospital admissions for the disease have declined for about six weeks but remain at relatively high levels.

The number of patients hospitalized in Arizona for known or suspected COVID-19 cases was 1,590 on Sunday, similar to 1,598 inpatients on Saturday and well below the record of 5,082 inpatients on Jan. 11th the only day during the summer ascent was July 13, 3,517.

The number of patients with suspected or known COVID-19 in intensive care units across Arizona was 478 on Sunday, compared to 501 on Saturday and below the record high of 1,183 on Jan. 11. During the summer surge in mid-July, the intensive care unit was on use for COVID-19, which peaked at 970.

Arizonans with confirmed and suspected COVID-19 on ventilators hit a score of 299 on Sunday, a slight increase from 286 on Saturday, and well below the record high of 821 on Jan. 13, 687 patients.

On Sunday, 1,117 patients were in the emergency room for COVID-19, which was lower than the December 29th record of 2,341 positive or suspected COVID-19 patients in emergency rooms across the state.

The percent positivity, which relates to the percentage of positive COVID-19 diagnostic tests, has decreased but remains above ideal.

Last week, Arizona’s percent positivity stayed at 9% for the second straight week, according to the state, which offers a unique way to calculate percent positivity. According to government data, the percent positivity was between 4% and 6% for much of August, September, and October.

Johns Hopkins University calculates the seven-day Arizona moving average as a percentage of positive results with 5% as of Monday. It shows that the state’s percentage positivity peaked at 24.2% in December.

A positivity rate of 5% or less is considered a good measure of whether the spread of the disease is under control.

Arizona began its first COVID-19 vaccinations for Phase 1A in the week of December 14, but the process has been slow due to limited vaccine supplies. Registration is available in priority countries or for all Phase 1B individuals and in most locations for individuals aged 65 and over. Governor Doug Ducey said the vaccine was free for everyone.

More than 1 million people across the state had received at least one dose of vaccine as of Monday, with approximately 398,900 people fully vaccinated against COVID-19 with two doses.

What you should know about Monday’s numbers

Reported Cases in Arizona: 809,474.

Cases since the outbreak began increased by 1,507, or 0.19%, of the 807,967 cases identified on Sunday. These daily cases are grouped by the date they are reported to the Arizona Department of Health, not the date the tests were performed.

Cases by county: 506,046 in Maricopa, 108,479 in Pima, 45,535 in Pinal, 36,310 in Yuma, 20,931 in Mohave, 16,923 in Yavapai, 16,281 in Coconino, 15,477 in Navajo, 11,053 in Cochise, 10,281 in Apache, 7,611 in Santa Cruz, 6,354 in Gila, 5,262 in Graham, 2,379 in La Paz and 552 in Greenlee, according to state figures.

The rate of fall per 100,000 people since the pandemic began is highest in Yuma County, followed by Apache, Santa Cruz, Navajo and Graham counties. The rate in Yuma County is 15,790 cases per 100,000 people. For comparison, the average US rate since the pandemic began was 8,398 cases per 100,000 people on Sunday, according to the CDC.

The Navajo nation reported a total of 29,535 cases and 1,144 confirmed deaths on Sunday. The Navajo Nation includes parts of Arizona, New Mexico, and Utah. Tribal leaders suspended the lockdowns the weekend after January 25th, although a stay at home and night curfew order remained in place.

The Arizona Department of Justice reported that as of Friday, 11,895 inmates had tested positive for COVID-19, including 2,236 in Tucson, 2,005 in Yuma, 1,974 in Eyman, 1,307 in Lewis and 1,155 in Douglas; 43,595 inmates were tested nationwide. A total of 2,649 prison employees have reported positive tests themselves, the department said. 35 people incarcerated in Arizona have been confirmed to have died from COVID-19. 17 other deaths are being investigated.

Race / ethnicity is unknown for 18% of all COVID-19 cases across the state, but 37% of people are white, 30% are Hispanic or Latin American, 5% are Native American, 3% are black, and 1% are Asian -pacific islanders.

Of those who tested positive since the Arizona pandemic began, 16% were younger than 20, 44% were 20-44, 15% were 45-54, 12% were 55-64, and 13% were over 65 years of age.

The laboratories have performed 3,703,153 diagnostic tests on individuals for COVID-19, 14.6% of which were positive. This number includes both PCR and antigen testing. The percentage of positive tests had increased since mid-May but began to decrease in July and remained constant at 4% per state for several weeks. For the last full week it was 9%. The status numbers omit data from laboratories that do not report electronically.

The Arizona Department of Health includes likely cases such as people with a positive antigen test, another type of test used to determine current infection. Antigen tests (not related to antibody tests) are newer diagnostic COVID-19 tests that use a nasal swab or other fluid sample to test for current infections. Results are usually generated within 15 minutes.

A positive antigen test result is considered very accurate, but there is an increased chance of false negative results, says the Mayo Clinic. Depending on the situation, Mayo Clinic officials say a doctor may recommend a PCR (polymerase chain reaction) test to confirm a negative antigen test result.

Arizona had the sixth highest overall case rate in the country since Jan. 21, 2020. According to Arizona, North Dakota, South Dakota, Rhode Island, Utah and Tennessee rank ahead of Arizona in cases per 100,000 people since the pandemic started, the CDC.

According to the CDC, the infection rate in Arizona is 11,076 cases per 100,000 people. The national average is 8,398 cases per 100,000 people, although rates in states that were badly affected at the start of the pandemic may be undercounted in March and April due to a lack of available tests.

Reported deaths in Arizona: 15,502

Deaths by counties: 8,833 in Maricopa, 2,149 in Pima, 770 in Yuma, 742 in Pinal, 625 in Mohave, 478 in Navajo, 448 in Yavapai, 365 in Apache, 307 in Coconino, 262 in Cochise, 209 in Gila, 166 in Santa Cruz, 71 in Graham, 69 in La Paz and eight in Greenlee.

People aged 65 and over accounted for 11,623 of the 15,502 deaths, or 75%. According to this, 14% of the deaths were in the 55-64 age group, 6% were 45-54 years old, and 4% were 20-44 years old.

While race / ethnicity was unknown for 7% of the deaths, 49% of those who died were white, 29% Hispanic or Latin American, 8% were Native American, 3% were black, and 1% were Asian Pacific islanders.

The global death toll was 2,469,417 on Monday morning, and the U.S. had the highest death toll of any country in the world at 499,128, according to Johns Hopkins University. Arizona’s total of 15,502 deaths equates to 3.1% of COVID-19 deaths in the US on Monday.

The COVID-19 death rate in Arizona since the pandemic began was 212 per 100,000 people on Sunday, according to the CDC, placing it in sixth place in the country in a state ranking that separates New York City from New York State. The US average was 149 deaths per 100,000 people on Sunday, according to the CDC.

New York City had the highest death rate with 343 deaths per 100,000 people. This was followed by New Jersey, Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Mississippi.

Reach the reporter at Alison.Steinbach@arizonarepublic.com or at 602-444-4282. Follow her on Twitter @alisteinbach.

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